By Christian DiMartino
The Golden Globes, when you think about it, are pretty much the drunken cousin of the Academy Awards. Everyone in attendance is usually pretty loaded, the speeches are usually pretty interesting and/or… well, let’s just say, drunken. Yet for those of us for keep up with award season, we know that in a way, as silly as it can be (I doubt even Cate Blanchett saw Where’d You Go Bernadette), it gets the ball rolling for the Oscars. Mind you, sometimes the Academy takes things in a different direction, for better, or worse. But often times, the Globes lay out the groundwork.
I was pretty disturbed by last year’s show. I know that these awards, in the grand scheme of things, don’t matter, and that they’re just a way to fuel the egos of the people who win them. Yet as someone who loves and cherishes film, I admit that I do get a certain pleasure from seeing films (and stars) I love get their due. Hence why last year was a tough one to sit through. The Globes split the Best Picture and Lead Acting categories into two categories: Musical or Comedy, and Drama. Last year, it only made sense that The Favourite would nab comedy, A Star is Born would nab drama, Bohemian Rhapsody was a throwaway nomination (because it sucks), and that Alfonso Cuaron would win another few awards for Roma (which wasn’t in the Drama category because it’s a foreign film).
Well… I got one of those right. Green Book nabbed Comedy, Bohemian Rhapsody nabbed Actor and Drama, and Cuaron nabbed director (at least there was one). In my heart, or gut, I hoped that the Academy would right the wrong here… but they ultimately did not. Mind you, sometimes the Academy does listen to me- I screamed when Birdman, despite being ignored by most award shows, won the Best Picture Oscar. Yet most of the time they don’t- I screamed when Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, despite winning big at most award shows, didn’t go home with Best Picture or Original Screenplay.
So yeah, that’s just kind of the way this show goes. It’s not 100% accurate, seeing as the categories aren’t all the same. But it gives you a taste for how the award season (which is much more brief this year) is going to go. So I’m going to take a stab at this year’s nominations, and… even if I don’t fully agree with their choices, this is a vastly superior year in film than last year.
Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
The Two Popes
A lot of early predictions here say that Noah Baumbach, after being snubbed for Best Director, will win here for Marriage Story. A fine prediction, yet I feel more strongly about Parasite and Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood. I give the slight edge to Tarantino’s script, seeing as I can picture it being a big winner. Yet you don’t really know at this point.
Best Supporting Actress
Kathy Bates- Richard Jewell
Annette Bening- The Report
Laura Dern- Marriage Story
Jennifer Lopez- Hustlers
Margot Robbie- Bombshell
In terms of Oscars, Dern seems like the one who should be poised. Like Bening, Dern should have an Oscar by now, and to top that, it’s a terrific performance, in a movie that is well-loved. Yet this isn’t the Oscars; it’s the Golden Globes. From a Globes standpoint, Dern has 4 awards already, and this might be why the early predictions are guessing J-Lo for Hustlers. I love her work in the film, but I’m still rooting for Dern… yet I have to remind myself that the Globes are not the Oscars. Actually, I have to remind myself of that a few times here.
Best Supporting Actor
Tom Hanks- A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins- The Two Popes
Al Pacino- The Irishman
Joe Pesci- The Irishman
Brad Pitt- Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
There are two choices here who should appear to be a given. Actually, make that three. Yet two of the three are in the same movie, and I believe they will cancel each other out. Pesci and Pacino are marvelous in The Irishman, but ultimately they will go with Pitt. A choice, frankly, I cannot dispute.
Best Actor- Musical or Comedy
Daniel Craig- Knives Out
Roman Griffin Davis- Jojo Rabbit
Leonardo DiCaprio- Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Taron Egerton- Rocketman
Eddie Murphy- Dolemite is My Name
Believe it or not, this one kind of seems like a free-for-all. DiCaprio seems like the easiest choice, since he’s great in it, they clearly love it, and he’s DiCaprio. Egerton could also get in there, considering their love for Bohemian Rhapsody. But… I don’t know. I’ve had a feeling in my gut for many months that Murphy could definitely win this one, so I’m putting my money on him.
Best Actor- Drama
Christian Bale- Ford v Ferrari
Antonio Banderas- Pain & Glory
Adam Driver- Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix- Joker
Jonathan Pryce- The Two Popes
This one, as I see it, is down between Driver and Phoenix (though Bale’s wonderful work deserves a shot too). Both of them act their hearts out in their respective films, and have been garnering buzz since both of their films premiered at the Venice Film Festival. But… there seems to be just a little more love for Phoenix, and seeing as he’s perhaps my favorite actor without an Oscar, a Globe win will boost his chances.
Best Actress- Musical or Comedy
Ana De Armas- Knives Out
Awkwafina- The Farewell
Cate Blanchett- Where’d You go, Bernadette
Beanie Feldstein- Booksmart
Emma Thompson- Late Night
One of the most random categories here. Frankly, I feel like the choices here were lazy- what about Charlize Theron for Long Shot, or Julianne Moore for Gloria Bell? Blanchett, who I love more than myself, is nominated for her name, not the movie (her performance is the only highlight in that mess). The rest of the performances are fine too, but none of them stand a chance at an Oscar nomination… with one minor exception: Awkwafina. Awkwafina’s work in The Farewell (which I’d hardly consider a comedy but okay) is beautiful and certainly worthy of an Oscar, and I have no doubt she will win here.
Best Actress- Drama
Cynthia Erivo- Harriet
Scarlett Johansson- Marriage Story
Saoirse Ronan- Little Women
Charlize Theron- Bombshell
Renee Zellweger- Judy
So I’d like to believe this is an easy one, but I suppose you never really know. I mean I more than assumed that Natalie Portman was going to be showered with awards (as she should have been) for Jackie, but she didn’t get anything. Zellweger seems like the safest bet here, gathering a tremendous amount of buzz, and with good reason, for her marvelous work. Yet, again, you never know. If she’s going to be de-throned, it’ll be by Theron or Johansson. BUT, you never know about Ronan either. She is also such a terrific actress, and certainly deserving of an Oscar. But for now, Zellweger is the best bet.
Bong Joon Ho- Parasite
Sam Mendes- 1917
Todd Philips- Joker
Martin Scorsese- The Irishman
Quentin Tarantino- Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
To me, Scorsese seems like the obvious choice. He’s made his best movie in years, it’s marvelous, it’s extremely ambitious and effective, and the man has only one Oscar to his name… but again, this is the Golden Globes. And for that reason, the early predictions suggest that Ho will win. It’s not undeserved, because it’s an amazing film. Give Ho his moment, but don’t you rob Scorsese again you monsters.
Best Picture- Musical or Comedy
Dolemite is My Name
Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
A damn good set of nominees here, seeing as I can definitely picture two of these being nominated for the Best Picture Oscar, and it’s either of these two that will win: Jojo or Once Upon. Yet seeing as Jojo only has two nods, I have no choice but to place my bet on Once Upon.
Best Picture- Drama
The Two Popes
C’mon! The Irishman has this one in the bag… right? Perhaps that’s why the early predictions say Scorsese will lose out on Best Director; he’s winning Best Picture. If I had my way, he’d get both. For now though, The Irishman seems like the easiest choice here.